※ Please refer to "Model History" below for the participating model's changes and improvements since 2015.
1. Forecast System: |
Organization | Korea, APCC |
System name | SCoPS (Seamless Coupled Prediction System) |
First operational forecast run from APCC | Nov 2017 (for 2017DJFMAM) |
2. Model Description: | Reference |
Atmospheric model and resolution(top) | ECHAM5.3 | T159L31 (10hPa) | Roeckner et al. 2003 |
Ocean model and resolution | POP2.0.1 | 0.3-0.5 x 1.0 deg, L40 | Smith and Gent 2002 |
Land surface model and resolution | ECHAM5.3 | | Roeckner et al. 2003 |
Sea-ice model and resolution | CICE4.1 | | Hunke and Lipscomb 2010 |
3. Initial / Boundary Condition: | Forecast | Hindcast |
Atmospheric initial conditions | 3D nudging CFSR | 3D nudging CFSR |
Land surface initial conditions | Clim. | Clim. |
Soil moisture initial conditions | Clim. | Clim. |
Snow initial conditions | Clim. | Clim. |
Ocean initial conditions | EAKF CFSR SST & ARGO T/S | EAKF CFSR SST & ARGO T/S |
Sea-Ice initial conditions | Predicted | Predicted |
SST boundary conditions (if tier-2) | N/A | N/A |
4. Data Specification from APCC: | Forecast | Hindcast |
Initial conditions for forecast and hindcast | 1st and 5th of the month | 1st and 5th of the month |
Ensemble size for forecast and hindcast | 10 members | 10 members |
Hindcast period(fixed or on-the-fly?) | 1982-2013(fixed) |
Forecast frequency and range(lead time) | 6 months(1-6 month lead time*) |
Spatial resolution | 2.5° x 2.5° |
List of parameter for APCC | prec, slp, sst, t2m, t850, u200, u850, v200, v850, z500 |
5. More information |
URL or Main reference | Ham et al. (2019) Correction to: A newly developed APCC SCoPS and its prediction of East Asia seasonal climate variability, Clim Dyn, 53, 3703-3704. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04894-y |
Focal point(name/e-mail) | Ms. A-Young Lim (limay@apcc21.org) |
* The length of time between issuance of a forecast and the occurrence of the phenomena that were predicted
e.g. 2019 JJASON (1-6 month lead time) means 6 month forecast issued on May 2019.
⏰ Model History |
• Nov 2017 : The CCSM3 was terminated and the new model, SCoPS (Seamless of Coupled Prediction System), was launched. The SCoPS offered its first operational forecast for 2017DJFMAM. • Sep 2014 : The number of ensembles in the CCSM3 was changed from 5 to 10. |
APCC: APEC Climate Center
BCC: Beijing Climate Center
BOM: Bureau of Meteorology
CMCC: Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici
CWB: Central Weather Bureau
ECCC: Environment Climate Change Canada
HMC: Hydrometeorological Centre of Russia
JMA: Japan Meteorological Agency
KMA: Korea Meteorological Administration
METFR: Météo-France
MGO: Voeikov Main Geophysical Observatory
NASA: National Aeronautics and Space Administration
NCEP: National Centers for Environmental Prediction
PNU: Pusan National University
UKMO: United Kingdom Met Office