Hindcast | APEC Climate Center

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Hindcast

Our seasonal forecasts are issued on the 20th of each month. In the case that the 20th falls on a weekend or national holiday, they are issued on the closest workday.

Verification domain and index information

Deterministic MME
Probabilistic MME

Deterministic MME

Anomaly Correlation Coefficient

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SEASON	VARIABLE	REGION
JJA SON	Precipitation 2m Temperature 850hPa Temperature 500hPa GPH	Global Australia_S.Pacific Australasia East Asia Middle East North America South America South Asia

Mean Square Skill Score (MSSS) and MSSS Correlation

SEASON	MME and Models	VARIABLE
JJA SON	SCM	Precipitation 2m Temperature 850hPa Temperature 500hPa GPH

Gerrity Skill Score

SEASON	MME	VARIABLE
JJA SON	SCM	Precipitation 2m Temperature 850hPa Temperature 500hPa GPH

Probabilistic MME

Reliability Diagram

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SEASON	VARIABLE	REGION
JJA SON	Precipitation 2m Temperature 850hPa Temperature	Global Northern Extratropics Southern Extratropics Tropics

Relative Operating Characteristics Curve

SEASON	VARIABLE	REGION
JJA SON	Precipitation 2m Temperature 850hPa Temperature	Global Northern Extratropics Southern Extratropics Tropics

Relative Operating Characteristics Score

SEASON	VARIABLE
JJA SON	Precipitation 2m Temperature 850hPa Temperature

Brier Skill Score

SEASON	VARIABLE
JJA SON	Precipitation 2m Temperature 850hPa Temperature