The APCC ENSO Alert suggests “La Niña Watch”. Niño3.4 index is expected to be -1℃ for November 2024 and gradually increase to -0.4℃ for March 2025. La Niña conditions are most probable for the whole forecast period.
Global MME Seasonal Outlook for October 2024 ~ March 2025
Strongly enhanced probability for above normal temperatures is predicted for most of the globe except for the eastern tropical and subtropical Pacific and the central equatorial Pacific for October 2024 — March 2025. For the same period, strongly enhanced probability for below normal precipitation is predicted for the western equatorial Pacific.
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APCC produces high-cost climate data and information by operating a real-time and highly-validated climate prediction system based on a multi-climate model ensemble (MME) technique. APCC also carries out research in order to enhance capacity in the monitoring and prediction of weather and climate in the Asia-Pacific region and beyond.
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