The APCC ENSO Alert suggests “La Niña Watch”. Niño3.4 index is expected to be -0.6℃ for August 2024 and then gradually decrease to -0.7℃ and persist for September 2024 to January 2025. La Niña conditions are most probable for August 2024 – January 2025.
MME Temperature & Precipitation Outlook for August 2024 ~ January 2025
Strongly enhanced probability for above normal temperatures is predicted for most of the globe except for the eastern tropical and subtropical Pacific for August 2024 – January 2025. For the same period, strongly enhanced probability for below normal precipitation is predicted for the western equatorial Pacific.
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APCC produces high-cost climate data and information by operating a real-time and highly-validated climate prediction system based on a multi-climate model ensemble (MME) technique. APCC also carries out research in order to enhance capacity in the monitoring and prediction of weather and climate in the Asia-Pacific region and beyond.
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