APEC 기후센터 기후변화연구팀의 Dr. Prasanna Venkatraman 박사가 오는 4월 15일에서 19일에 영국 기상청에서 개최하는 제4회 WGNE* 워크샵(4th WGNE Workshop on Systematic Errors in Weather and Climate Models)에 참석해 발표를 진행한다.

Dr. Prasanna 박사는 포스터 세션에서 “Regional Climate Change Scenarios over South Asia in the CMIP-5 coupled climate model simulations”라는 제목으로 발표를 진행할 예정이다. 발표 초록은 다음과 같다.

Title: Regional Climate Change Scenarios over South Asia in the CMIP-5 coupled climate model simulations
 

Abstract:

This paper evaluates the performance of a suite of state-of-art coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) in their representation of regional characteristics of hydrological cycle and temperature over South Asia. Based on AOGCM experiments conducted for two types of future greenhouse gas emission scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) extending up to the end of 21st century, scenarios of temperature and hydrological cycle are presented here. The regional climate change scenarios of temperature (T), atmospheric water balance components, precipitation, moisture convergence and evaporation (P, C and E) up to the end of the 21st century based on CMIP-5 modeling experiments conducted for (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) indicate marked increase in both rainfall and temperature into the 21st century, particularly becoming conspicuous after the 2050's. While the scenarios presented in this study are indicative of the expected range of rainfall and water balance changes, it must be noted that the quantitative estimates still have large uncertainties associated with them.
 

* WGNE: Working Group on Numerical Experimentation