The APCC ENSO Alert suggests “El Niño”. In September 2023, above normal sea surface temperature anomalies spanned the equatorial Pacific. The Niño3.4 index is expected to be around 2℃ and then gradually decrease to 1℃ for November 2023 – April 2024. The probability for El Niño conditions is expected to be above 93% for the same period.
Temperature/Precipitation Forecast for November 2023 ~ April 2024
Strongly enhanced probability for above normal temperatures is predicted for most of the globe for November 2023 – April 2024. For the same period, above normal precipitation is predicted for the western equatorial Pacific and some region of Eurasia, whereas below normal precipitation is expected for the central off-equatorial North Pacific, tropical South Atlantic, eastern Indian Ocean, and Australia.
SERVICES
Climate Information Service
APCC produces high-cost climate data and information by operating a real-time and highly-validated climate prediction system based on a multi-climate model ensemble (MME) technique. APCC also carries out research in order to enhance capacity in the monitoring and prediction of weather and climate in the Asia-Pacific region and beyond.
PLEASE CLICK HERE TO UNSUBSCRIBE FROM OUR NEWSLETTER
WE WOULD LIKE TO HEAR YOUR VIEWS ON THE FORM AND CONTENT OF THE NEWSLETTER. PLEASE SEND YOUR COMMENT AND SUGGESTION TO: apcc_newsletter@apcc21.org
