Climate Change Analysis
Climate Services and Research
Enhancing Climate Prediction Services through Innovative Research and Technology
Climate Prediction
Operation of Climate Prediction Systems and Provision of Climate Information Services for the Asia-Pacific Region
Prediction Research & Development
Development of Innovative Technologies for Predicting Climate Extremes
Climate Change Analysis
Assessment of the reproducibility of extreme climate events on a decadal time scale and development of high-resolution downscaling technology to enhance the applicability of climate change analysis
Climate Model Testbed
Operation of the KMA Climate Prediction System Testbed and Establishment of a Verification Framework
Information System and Security
Climate Change Analysis
Goal
Secure scientific capabilities for analyzing the reproducibility of annual-to-decadal extreme climate events in the Asia-Pacific region
Pilot the production of high-resolution downscaled datasets that reflect interdependencies between climate variables
Basic Functions
Develop technology for forecasting annual-to-decadal extreme climate events in the Asia-Pacific region
Develop region-specific climate change information production technology
Main Research
Rapid climate change caused by global warming has led to an increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events (such as droughts, heatwaves, and cold spells) worldwide, including in the Asia-Pacific region. As a result, it has become an urgent task to assess the impacts of climate change in the region and provide reliable climate projection information.
The Climate Change Analysis Department is developing annual-to-decadal (A2D) extreme climate prediction technology for the Asia-Pacific region. To overcome the limitations of current climate models, a storyline-based approach is being introduced to enhance climate projections, while also working on bias correction methods and evaluating the predictability of extreme climate-related factors. Additionally, research is being conducted to analyze the future occurrence patterns of extreme climate events (such as heatwaves, droughts, and cold spells) and to identify their relationships with key climate drivers such as ENSO, PDO, and AO, in order to improve prediction accuracy. Through this effort, the division aims to enhance the accuracy of extreme climate forecasts in the Asia-Pacific region and support proactive policy-making for climate crisis adaptation.
Furthermore, the Climate Change Analysis Department is developing region-specific climate change information production technology. This includes building high-resolution satellite-based gridded datasets and developing multivariate statistical downscaling techniques that consider the spatial and physical relationships between climate variables. By leveraging these technologies, more detailed extreme climate information can be provided, enabling a more comprehensive analysis of the impacts of climate change. In particular, high-resolution climate projection datasets will be produced to support climate impact assessments and adaptation strategies in the Asia-Pacific region.
These research outcomes will contribute to improving climate services and formulating climate adaptation policies in the Asia-Pacific region. The department is also working closely with relevant institutions, including the Korea Meteorological Administration, to ensure ongoing research and development efforts.